SET Announcements
Management's Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) 2Q2009
14 August 2009
Management's Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) and Operating Results for the 2nd
Quarter of 2009 and the Six-Month Period Ended June 30, 2009
1. Financial and Operating Highlights
2Q 2009 2Q 2008 1H 2009 1H 2008
Crude intake (kbpd) 143.0 148.6 140.6 144.9
Paraxylene production (thousand tons) 117 91 199 175
Average forex rate (Baht/US$) 34.8 32.3 35.0 32.4
Gross refining margin (US$/BBL) 11.9 23.3 10.2 15.3
Sales (million Baht) 42,305 68,247 75,790 121,787
Gross profit (million Baht) 6,263 9,652 10,032 12,642
EBITDA (million Baht) 5,557 8,947 8,733 11,268
Net profit (million Baht) 3,558 5,814 5,384 6,944
(1)
Earnings per share (Baht) 1.03 1.84 1.56 2.41
(2)
Adjusted Earnings per share (Baht) 1.03 1.68 1.56 2.01
(1)
Based on actual weighed average number of common shares during the period:
- 2Q 2008 3,158 million. shares
- 1H 2008 2,886 million. shares
- 2Q 2009 and 1H 2009 3,461 million. shares
(2)Based on total current number of shares: 3,461 million. shares
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2. Benchmark Prices for Crude Oil and Refined Petroleum Products
Average Platts Singapore quoted prices for crude oil and refined products
Unit: US$/BBL 2Q 2009 2Q 2008 1Q 2009 1H 2009 1H 2008
Dubai 59.1 116.9 44.3 51.7 104.2
Tapis 61.7 129.5 48.4 55.1 116.0
Gasoline (95 Ron) 68.7 129.8 54.8 61.8 117.5
Jet fuel / kerosene 66.5 154.4 55.4 61.0 134.3
Diesel (0.5%S) 66.2 154.5 53.2 59.7 134.4
Fuel oil (180 cs) 53.3 92.6 39.0 46.1 83.6
LPG 36.2 75.8 39.4 37.8 74.6
Paraxylene - US$/Ton 957 1,330 727 842 1,227
(1)
Gasoline (95 Ron) - US$/Ton 584 1,104 466 525 999
Source: Mean of Platts Singapore and PCI
(1)
Converted to US$/Ton using 1 Ton = 8.5 barrels
Crude prices for 2Q 2009 continued to rise from 1Q 2009. Average
Dubai and Tapis crude prices for 2Q 2009 were at 59.1 $/bbl and 61.7 $/bbl
respectively, roughly up 13 - 15 $/bbl from 1Q 2009.However,they were still
lower than those prices in 2Q 2008 by approximately 58 $/bbl for Dubai and
68 $/bbl for Tapis crude.
With the exception of LPG, 2Q 2009 overall product prices
increased in line with the change in crude prices from 1Q 2009. LPG prices
remained under government control at 11 Baht/kg (320 $/Ton or 28 $/bbl).
Paraxylene Asian Contract price (ACP) in 2Q 2009 increased from
1Q 2009.
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3. Production and Gross Margin
2Q 2009 2Q 2008 +/(-) 1H 2009 1H 2008 +/(-)
Refining capacity (kbpd) 177.0 177.0 - 177.0 177.0 -
Crude intake (kbpd) 143.0 148.6 -5.6 140.6 144.9 -4.3
Refinery production
(1)
- Light products (%) 34.9% 34.7% +0.2% 34.4% 34.8% -0.4%
- Middle distillates (%) 50.5% 54.2% -3.7% 50.4% 52.7% -2.3%
- Heavy products (%) 14.6% 11.1% +3.5% 15.2% 12.6% +2.6%
Paraxylene production ('000 tons)
117 91 +26 199 175 +24
Gross Refining Margin (US$/BBL)
11.9 23.3 -11.4 10.2 15.3 -5.1
(1)
Excludes reformate for chemical feedstock
Crude intake in 2Q 2009 was lower than 2Q 2008 by 5.6 KBD, driven
by weaker gross refining margin (GRM). Due to paraxylene margin improvement
in 2Q09, paraxylene production was significantly increased from 91 KTon in
2Q 2008 to 117 KTon in 2Q 2009.
Gross refining margin was 11.9 $/bbl in 2Q 2009 compared to 23.3
$/bbl in 2Q 2008.While both 2Q 2009 and 2Q 2008 gross refining margins
reflected positive impacts from stock gains, the lower gross refining
margin in 2Q 2009 was partly due to a smaller effect from stock gains
during the period.
The decrease in middle distillates portion to 50.5% in 2Q 2009
from 54.2% in 2Q 2008 and the increase in heavy product portion to 14.6%
in 2Q 2009 from 11.1% in 2Q 2008 were driven by raw materials optimization.
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4. Financial Performance of 2Q 2009 and first half of 2009
(Unit: million Baht)
2Q 2009 2Q 2008 +/(-) 1H 2009 1H 2008 +/(-)
Sales 42,305 68,247 (25,942) 75,790 121,787 (45,997)
Cost of sales (36,042) (58,595) 22,553 (65,758) (109,145) 43,387
Gross profit 6,263 9,652 (3,389) 10,032 12,642 (2,610)
Selling expenses (1,093) (1,086) (7) (2,081) (2,138) 57
Administrative expenses
(112) (109) (3) (207) (208) 1
Profit from sales 5,058 8,457 (3,399) 7,744 10,296 (2,552)
Memo:
- Downstream 4,580 8,586 (4,006) 7,479 10,534 (3,055)
- Petrochemicals 478 (129) 607 265 (238) 503
Other income 22 18 4 34 25 9
Operating profit 5,080 8,475 (3,395) 7,778 10,321 (2,543)
Share of profit from an associate
70 58 12 135 120 15
Profit before interest and income tax
5,150 8,533 (3,383) 7,913 10,441 (2,528)
Finance costs, net (119) (252) 133 (321) (574) 253
Profit before income tax
5,031 8,281 (3,250) 7,592 9,867 (2,275)
Income tax charge (1,473) (2,467) 994 (2,208) (2,923) 715
Net profit 3,558 5,814 (2,256) 5,384 6,944 (1,560)
Both sales and cost of sales in 2Q 2009 were lower than 2Q 2008,
reflecting lower crude and refined petroleum product prices and lower sales
volumes. Gross profit for 2Q 2009 was Baht 3,389 million lower than 2Q 2008
due mainly to the lower refining gross margin for the quarter.
2Q 2009 selling and administrative expenses were Baht 1,205
million about the same level as 2Q 2008.
Profit from sales for 2Q 2009 were Baht 5,058 million, Baht
3,399 million lower from 2Q 2008 due to lower Downstream profit from sales
of Baht 4,006 million but partially offset with the increased
Petrochemicals profit from sales of Baht 607 million. The significant
improvement in
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Petrochemicals result in 2Q 2009 was associated with both stronger
paraxylene margin and higher production volume.
Net finance cost was down by 53% or Baht 133 million in 2Q 2009
compared to 2Q 2008 as a result of lower debt level as well as lower
interest rates.
With the abovementioned factors, net profit was Baht 3,558 million
in 2Q 2009, Baht 2,256 million lower than 2Q 2008.
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5. Balance Sheet
(Unit: million Baht except for percentages)
30 Jun, 31 Mar,
2009 2009 + / (-) + / (-) %
Assets
- Current assets 28,667 22,199 6,468 29%
- Non-current assets 34,627 35,900 (1,273) (4%)
Total assets 63,294 58,099 5,195 9%
Liabilities
- Current liabilities 29,545 26,596 2,949 11%
- Non-current liabilities 7,914 9,255 (1,341) (14%)
Total liabilities 37,459 35,851 1,608 4%
Shareholders' equity
- Issued & paid-up share capital
17,075 17,075 - -
- Premium on share capital 4,032 4,032 - -
- Retained earnings 4,580 1,023 3,557 348%
- Fair value reserve 141 111 30 27%
Minority interest 7 7 - -
Total shareholders' equity 25,835 22,248 3,587 16%
Total liabilities and shareholders'equity
63,294 58,099 5,195 9%
As of 30 June 2009, current assets increased Baht 6,468 million
from the previous quarter primarily due to higher inventory resulting from
higher crude and product prices at the end of period.
Non-current assets decreased by Baht 1,273 million as the net
profit in 2Q 2009 decreased deferred income tax assets.
Current liabilities increased by Baht 2,949 million whereas
non-current liabilities decreased by Baht 1,341 million compared to
1Q 2009. An increase in current liabilities for the period was due to
higher crude payables and higher short-term borrowings. The company
made a scheduled repayment on its long-term syndicated loan of Baht
1,375 million in June 2009.
Total shareholder's equity increased Baht 3,587 million due to
2Q 2009 net profit of Baht 3,558 million.
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6. Financial Ratios
Comparison of financial ratios is as follows:
Profitability ratios
2Q 2009 2Q 2008 1Q 2009 1H 2009 1H 2008
Gross profit margin (%) 14.8% 14.1% 11.3% 13.2% 10.4%
Net profit margin (%) 8.4% 8.5% 5.5% 7.1% 5.7%
Interest coverage ratio (times)
46.3 31.8 15.5 26.9 18.3
Liquidity and debt to equity ratios
30 Jun, 2009 31 Mar, 2009 31 Dec, 2008
Current ratio (times) 1.0 0.8 0.5
Quick ratio (times) 0.2 0.2 0.1
Total debt to equity ratio (times)
0.9 1.1 1.4
Long term debt to equity ratio (times)
0.3 0.4 0.0
Net debt to equity ratio (times)
0.9 1.1 1.3
Financial ratios calculation:
Gross profit margin = Gross profit / Sales
Net profit margin = Net profit / Sales
Interest coverage ratio = EBITDA / Interest expense
Current ratio = Current assets / Current liabilities
Quick ratio = (Cash and cash equivalents + Short term
investments + Trade receivables) / Current
liabilities
Total debt = Current borrowings + Non-current borrowings
Total debt to equity ratio = Total debt / Total shareholders' equity
Long term debt to equity ratio= Non-current borrowings / Total shareholders'
equity
Net debt to equity ratio = (Total debt - Cash and cash equivalents) /
Total shareholder's equity
Name: Daniel E. Lyons
Title: Managing Director
Date: August 14, 2009
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