ข่าวแจ้งตลาดหลักทรัพย์
Management's Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) Q1/2008
15 พฤษภาคม 2551
Management's Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) and Operating Results for the
Three-Month Period Ended March 31, 2008
1. Financial and Operating Highlights
1Q 2008 1Q2007
Crude intake (kbpd) 141.2 148.1
Paraxylene production (thousand tons) 84.1 103.4
Average forex rate (Baht/US$) 32.5 35.6
Gross refining margin (US$/BBL) 6.95 7.93
Sales (million Baht) 53,540 45,337
Gross profit (million Baht) 3,019 4,449
EBITDA (million Baht) 2,321 3,936
Net profit (million Baht) 1,131 2,036
(1)
Earnings per share (Baht) 0.4 4.0
(1)
Total number of shares outstanding as of:
31 Mar 2007 510 million
?
31 Mar 2008 2,610 million
?
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2. Benchmark Prices for Crude Oil and Refined Petroleum Products
Average Platts Singapore quoted prices for crude oil and refined products
Unit: US$/BBL 1Q2008 4Q2007 1Q2007
Dubai 91.4 83.2 55.4
Tapis 102.5 93.4 63.6
Gasoline (95 Ron) 105.1 95.8 68.3
Jet fuel / kerosene 114.2 105.9 72.2
Diesel (0.5%S) 114.4 102.6 70.1
Fuel oil (180 cs) 74.6 73.2 45.1
LPG 73.4 67.0 46.4
Paraxylene - US$/Ton 1,099 1,051 1,023
(1)
Gasoline (95 Ron) - US$/Ton 894 814 581
Source: Mean of Platts Singapore
(1)
Converted to US$/Ton using 1 Ton = 8.5 barrels
Crude prices increased substantially from 4Q 2007 to 1Q 2008.
Dubai and Tapis crude prices were up 10% in 1Q 2008
compared to 4Q 2007. Product prices generally increased in line with crude
prices with the exception of fuel oil which stayed relatively flat
between 1Q 2008 and 4Q 2007 and LPG which is currently sold ex-refinery at a
government controlled price of US$340 per metric ton or
about US$29.5 per barrel.
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3. Production and Gross Margin
1Q2008 1Q 2007 + / (-)
Refining capacity (kbpd) 177.0 177.0 -
Crude intake (kbpd) 141.2 148.1 (6.9)
Capacity utilization rate (%) 79.8% 83.7% (3.9%)
Refinery production
- Light products (%) (1) 34.8% 34.2% 0.6%
- Middle distillates (%) 51.2% 49.4% 1.8%
- Heavy products (%) 14.0% 16.4% (2.4%)
Paraxylene production (thousand tons) 84.1 103.4 (19.3)
Gross Refining Margin (US$/BBL) 6.95 7.93 (0.98)
(1)
Excludes reformate for chemical feedstock
Crude intake in 1Q 2008 compared to 1Q 2007 was impacted by
unattractive hydroskimming margins. Paraxylene production
was down in 1Q 2008 as the decreased paraxylene margins arising from
escalating feed costs made additional production uneconomical.
Gross refining margin (GRM) was down by US$0.98 to US$6.95 per
barrel in 1Q 2008 from US$7.93 per barrel in 1Q 2007.
Paraxylene margins decreased in 1Q 2008 as paraxylene prices could not keep
pace with the escalating feed costs.
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4. Financial Performance of 1Q 2008 versus 1Q 2007
(Unit: million Baht)
1Q 2008 1Q 2007 Change
Sales 53,540 45,337 8,203
Cost of sales (50,521) (40,888) (9,633)
Gross profit 3,019 4,449 (1,430)
Selling and administrative expenses (1,180) (1,007) (173)
Profit from sales 1,839 3,442 (1,603)
Memo:
- Downstream 1,948 2,769 (821)
- Petrochemicals (109) 673 (782)
Other income 7 16 (9)
Operating profit 1,846 3,458 (1,612)
Other non-operating income - 161 (161)
Share of profit from an associate 63 51 12
Profit before interest and income tax 1,909 3,670 (1,761)
Interest income 14 82 (68)
Interest expense (335) (1,286) 951
Profit before income tax 1,588 2,466 (878)
Income tax charge (457) (430) (27)
Net profit 1,131 2,036 (905)
Both sales and cost of sales went up in 1Q 2008 compared to 1Q
2007 reflecting the trend of rising crude and refined
petroleum product prices worldwide, partially offset by lower sales volumes.
Gross profit was lower in 1Q 2008 as product prices did not
increase as fast as the cost of crude oil.
Selling and administrative expenses were higher in 1Q 2008
mainly due to the inclusion of expenses incurred by the chemical
marketing business resulting from the entire business transfer of ExxonMobil
Chemical (Thailand) Limited or EMCTL to the Company in
September 2007, and higher transportation costs incurred for commercial and
retail sales.
Profit from sales for both the downstream and petrochemicals
segments decreased in 1Q 2008 compared to 1Q 2007 largely
due to lower margins. GRM was down by US$0.98 to US$6.95 per barrel in 1Q 2008
from US$7.93 per barrel in 1Q 2007. Paraxylene
margins decreased in 1Q 2008 as paraxylene prices could not keep pace with the
escalating feed costs.
Other non-operating income in 1Q 2007 consisted of the
amortization of the deferred gain on the sale and leaseback
transaction which the Company entered into in 2000 to lease certain assets
that were sold to EMCTL. The absence of other non-operating
income in 1Q 2008 was due to the termination of the sale and leaseback
transaction following the transfer of the entire business of EMCTL
to the Company in September 2007.
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Interest expense was down significantly by 74% in 1Q 2008 compared
to 1Q 2007. This was the result of lower debt (due to
debt repayment with cash from the September 2007 capital injection and from
2007 operating cash flow) as well as lower interest rates
(due to the debt refinancing completed in December 2007).
The effective tax rate for 1Q 2008 was 29% compared to 18% for 1Q
2007. The movement in effective tax rate was primarily
impacted by the income tax holiday, granted by the Board of Investment for
income generated by the Company's aromatics plant, expiring
on 10 September 2007.
As a result of the foregoing factors, our net profit decreased 44%
to Baht 1,131 million in 1Q 2008 from Baht 2,036 million in
1Q 2007.
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5. Balance Sheet
(Unit: million Baht except for percentages)
31 Mar, 2008 31 Dec, 2007 % Change
Assets
- Current assets 40,856 36,482 +12%
- Non-current assets 33,570 34,332 -2%
Total assets 74,426 70,814 +5%
Liabilities
- Current liabilities 36,908 34,408 +7%
- Non-current liabilities 12,013 12,012 +0%
Total liabilities 48,921 46,420 +5%
Shareholders' equity
- Issued & paid-up share capital
12,877 12,877 -
- Retained earnings 12,384 11,253 +10%
- Fair value reserve 237 257 -8%
Minority interest 7 7 -
Total shareholders' equity 25,505 24,394 +5%
Total liabilities and shareholder's equity
74,426 70,814 +5%
As of 31 March 2008, current assets increased by 12% from 31
December 2007 primarily due to higher crude and product
inventory. Retained earnings increased by 10% to Baht 12,384 million as of 31
March 2008 due to the net profit in 1Q 2008. There were
no other significant changes in the balance sheet as of 31 March 2008 compared
to 31 December 2007.
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6. Financial Ratios
Comparison of financial ratios for 1Q 2008 and 1Q 2007 are as follows:
Profitability ratios
1Q 2008 1Q 2007
Gross profit margin (%) 5.6% 9.8%
Net profit margin (%) 2.1% 4.5%
Interest coverage ratio (times) 6.9 3.1
Liquidity and debt to equity ratios
31 Mar, 2008 31 Dec, 2007
Current ratio (times) 1.1 1.1
Quick ratio (times) 0.2 0.3
Total debt to equity ratio (times) 1.4 1.4
Long term debt to equity ratio (times) 0.4 0.5
Net debt to equity ratio (times) 1.3 1.4
Financial ratios calculation:
Gross profit margin = Gross profit / Sales
Net profit margin = Net profit / Sales
Interest coverage ratio = EBITDA / Interest expense
Current ratio = Current assets / Current liabilities
Quick ratio = (Cash and cash equivalents + Short term investments +
Trade receivables) / Current liabilities
Total debt = Current borrowings + Non-current borrowings
Total debt to equity ratio = Total debt / Total shareholders' equity
Long term debt to equity ratio = Non-current borrowings / Total
shareholders' equity
Net debt to equity ratio = (Total debt - Cash and cash equivalents) /
Total shareholder's equity
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