ข่าวแจ้งตลาดหลักทรัพย์
Management's Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) 1Q2009
15 พฤษภาคม 2552
Management's Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) and Operating Results for the
Three-Month Period Ended March 31, 2009
1. Financial and Operating Highlights
1Q 2009 1Q 2008
Crude intake (kbpd) 138.1 141.2
Paraxylene production (thousand tons) 82 84
Average forex rate (Baht/US$) 35.3 32.5
Gross refining margin (US$/BBL) 8.48 6.95
Sales (million Baht) 33,484 53,540
Gross profit (million Baht) 3,812 3,019
EBITDA (million Baht) 3,176 2,321
Net profit (million Baht) 1,826 1,130
(1)
Earnings per share (Baht) 0.5 0.4
(2)
Adjusted Earnings per share (Baht) 0.5 0.3
(1)
Total number of shares outstanding as of:
31 Mar 2008 2,610 million
31 Mar 2009 3,461 million
(2) Based on total current number of shares: 3,461 million. shares
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2. Benchmark Prices for Crude Oil and Refined Petroleum Products
Average Platts Singapore quoted prices for crude oil and refined products
Unit: US$/BBL 1Q 2009 4Q 2008 1Q 2008
Dubai 44.3 52.6 91.4
Tapis 48.4 59.7 102.5
Gasoline (95 Ron) 54.8 56.3 105.1
Jet fuel / kerosene 55.4 74.7 114.2
Diesel (0.5%S) 53.2 70.3 114.4
Fuel oil (180 cs) 39.0 44.8 74.6
LPG 39.4 47.9 73.4
Paraxylene - US$/Ton 727 673 1,123
(1)
Gasoline (95 Ron)-US$/Ton 466 479 894
Source: Mean of Platts Singapore and PCI
(1)
Converted to US$/Ton using 1 Ton = 8.5 barrels
Average crude prices for 1Q 2009 decreased from 4Q 2008.
Dubai crude prices during the first quarter were in the range of
40-50$/bbl and averaged 44.3$/bbl, 16% lower versus the average of
4Q 2008. Tapis crude prices averaged 48.4$/bbl in 1Q 2009, 19% lower
versus 4Q 2008. However, prices of Dubai and Tapis at quarter-end 1Q 2009
were higher than at year-end 2008. Dubai rose from 37$/bbl to 47$/bbl and
Tapis rose from 40$/bbl to 50$/bbl.
The decrease of middle distillates prices, i.e. jet fuel and
diesel, outpaced crude price declines in 1Q 2009, whereas gasoline and
fuel oil price decreases were outpaced by crude price declines.
LPG prices remained under government control at 11 Baht/kg
(US$310/Ton or US$27/barrel).
Paraxylene Asian Contract price (ACP) in 1Q 2009 improved
from 4Q 2008.
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3. Production and Gross Margin
1Q 2009 1Q 2008 + / (-)
Refining capacity (kbpd) 177.0 177.0 -
Crude intake (kbpd) 138.1 141.2 (3.1)
Refinery production
(1)
- Light products (%) 33.9% 34.8% (0.9)%
- Middle distillates (%) 50.2% 51.2% (1.0)%
- Heavy products (%) 15.9% 14.0% 1.9%
Paraxylene production ('000 tons) 82 84 (2)
Gross Refining Margin (US$/BBL) 8.48 6.95 1.53
(1)
Excludes reformate for chemical feedstock
Crude intake and paraxylene production for 1Q 2009 were
slightly lower than 1Q 2008 at 138.1 KBD and 82 KTon respectively.
Gross refining margin (GRM) was 8.48 $/bbl in 1Q 2009,
up from 6.95 $/bbl in 1Q 2008.Gross refining margin for both 1Q 2009
and 1Q 2008 included inventory effects as a result of increasing
crude price for the quarters.
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4. Financial Performance of 1Q 2009 and 1Q 2008
(Unit: million Baht)
1Q 2009 1Q 2008 + / (-)
Sales 33,484 53,540 (20,056)
Cost of sales (29,672) (50,521) 20,849
Gross profit 3,812 3,019 793
Selling and administrative
expenses (1,126) (1,180) 54
Profit from sales 2,686 1,839 847
Memo:
- Downstream 2,899 1,948 951
- Petrochemicals (213) (109) (104)
Other income 12 7 5
Operating profit 2,698 1,846 852
Share of profit from an associate 66 63 3
Profit before interest and
income tax 2,764 1,909 855
Interest income 2 14 (12)
Interest expense (205) (335) 130
Profit before income tax 2,561 1,587 974
Income tax charge (735) (457) (278)
Net profit 1,826 1,130 696
Both sales and cost of sales came down in 1Q 2009 compared to
1Q 2008 primarily reflecting lower average crude and refined petroleum
product prices for the quarter. Gross profit was Baht 3,812 million in
1Q 2009 compared to Baht 3,019 million in 1Q 2008. The higher gross
profit in 1Q 2009 resulted mainly from higher gross refining margins.
Selling and administrative expenses were Baht 54 million lower
in 1Q 2009 due to lower promotional spending and lower transportation
costs incurred for commercial and retail sales.
Profit from sales for the downstream segment increased Baht
951 million as gross refining margins improved. With the impact of
unfavorable mixed-xylene feedstock costs in 1Q 2009 as compared with
1Q 2008 and lower volumes and margins in other chemical products,
profit from sales for the petrochemical segment decreased Baht
104 million.
Interest expense was down by 39% or Baht 130 million in
1Q 2009 compared to 1Q 2008 as a result of lower debt as well as lower
interest rates.
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The effective tax rate was 29% for 1Q 2009 as the profit from an
associate was not tax affected.
As a result of the foregoing factors, our net profit increased
62% to Baht 1,826 million in 1Q 2009 from Baht 1,130 million in 1Q 2008.
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5. Balance Sheet
(Unit: million Baht except for percentages)
31 Mar, 2009 31 Dec, 2008 + / (-) + / (-) %
Assets
-Current assets 22,199 18,434 3,765 20%
-Non-current assets 35,900 36,636 (736) -2%
Total assets 58,099 55,070 3,029 6%
Liabilities
-Current liabilities 26,596 33,682 (7,086) -21%
-Non-current liabilities 9,255 968 8,287 856%
Total liabilities 35,851 34,650 1,201 3%
Shareholders' equity
-Issued & paid-up
share capital 17,075 17,075 - -
-Premium on share
capital 4,032 4,032 - -
-Retained earnings 1,023 (803) 1,826 227%
-Fair value reserve 111 108 3 3%
Minority interest 7 7 - -
Total shareholders' equity 22,248 20,420 1,828 9%
Total liabilities and
shareholders' equity 58,099 55,070 3,029 6%
As of 31 March 2009, current assets increased Baht 3,765 million
from 31 December 2008 primarily due to higher trade receivables and
inventory resulting from higher crude and product prices at the end of the
first quarter versus year-end 2008.
Non-current assets decreased by Baht 736 million as the
net profits in 1Q 2009 decreased deferred income tax assets.
Current liabilities decreased by Baht 7,086 million as
the company made a net repayment of short-term revolving debts of
Baht 3,673 million in 1Q 2009 and Baht 8,250 million of long-term debt
was re-characterized as a non-current liability as described in footnote
10 of the financial statements, which was partially offset by higher
amount due to related parties which was mainly crude payables.
Retained earnings increased Baht 1,826 million from the
net profit of 1Q 2009.
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6. Financial Ratios
Comparison of financial ratios for 1Q 2009 and 1Q 2008 are as follows:
Profitability ratios
1Q 2009 1Q 2008
Gross profit margin (%) 11.4% 5.6%
Net profit margin (%) 5.5% 2.1%
Interest coverage ratio (times) 15.5 6.9
Liquidity and debt to equity ratios
31 Mar, 2009 31 Dec, 2008
Current ratio (times) 0.8 0.5
Quick ratio (times) 0.2 0.1
Total debt to equity ratio (times) 1.1 1.4
Long term debt to equity ratio (times) 0.4 0.0
Net debt to equity ratio (times) 1.1 1.3
Financial ratios calculation:
Gross profit margin = Gross profit / Sales
Net profit margin = Net profit / Sales
Interest coverage ratio = EBITDA / Interest expense
Current ratio = Current assets / Current liabilities
Quick ratio = (Cash and cash equivalents + Short term
investments + Trade receivables) /
Current liabilities
Total debt = Current borrowings + Non-current borrowings
Total debt to equity ratio = Total debt / Total shareholders' equity
Long term debt to equity ratio = Non-current borrowings / Total shareholders'
equity
Net debt to equity ratio = (Total debt - Cash and cash equivalents) /
Total shareholder's equity
Name: Daniel E. Lyons
Title: Managing Director
Date: May 15, 2009
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