ข่าวแจ้งตลาดหลักทรัพย์
Management's Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) Quarter 2 2010
11 สิงหาคม 2553
Management's Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) and Operating Results for the 2nd
Quarter of 2010 and the Six-Month Period Ended June 30, 2010
1. Financial and Operating Highlights
2Q 2010 2Q 2009 1H 2010 1H 2009
Crude intake (Kbpd) 125.8 143.0 120.9 140.6
Paraxylene production (thousand tons) 74 117 154 199
Average forex rate (Baht/US$) 32.4 34.8 32.7 35.0
Gross refining margin (US$/Bbl) 1.8 11.9 2.0 10.2
Sales (million Baht) 45,877 42,305 89,378 75,790
Gross profit (million Baht) 690 6,263 2,131 10,032
EBITDA (million Baht) (39) 5,557 740 8,733
Net profit (million Baht) (303) 3,558 (54) 5,384
(1)
Earnings per share (Baht) (0.09) 1.03 (0.02) 1.56
(1) Based on total current number of shares: 3,461 million shares
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2. Benchmark Prices for Crude Oil and Refined Petroleum Products
Average Platts Singapore quoted prices for crude oil and refined products
Unit: US$/BBL 2Q 2010 2Q 2009 1Q 2010 1H 2010 1H 2009
Dubai 78.1 59.1 75.8 77.0 51.7
Tapis 81.2 61.7 79.5 80.4 55.1
Gasoline (95 Ron) 87.5 68.7 88.5 88.0 61.8
Jet fuel / kerosene 89.9 66.5 85.2 87.5 61.0
Diesel (0.5%S) 89.5 66.2 84.8 87.1 59.7
Fuel oil (180 cs) 71.4 53.3 72.8 72.1 46.1
LPG 61.9 36.2 64.4 63.1 37.8
Paraxylene - US$/Ton 1,007 957 1,055 1,031 842
(1)
Gasoline (95 Ron)-US$/Ton 744 584 752 748 525
Source: Mean of Platts Singapore and PCI
(1) Converted to US$/Ton using 1 Ton = 8.5 Barrels
2Q 2010 average crude prices increased slightly from 1Q 2010,
and were 32% higher than in the same quarter last year. During the second
quarter, crude prices fluctuated in the range of $68/Bbl - $89/Bbl and
averaged $78.1/Bbl, or about 3% higher than 1Q 2010, for Dubai crude and at
$81.2/Bbl, or about 2% higher than 1Q 2010, for Tapis crude.
Although average crude prices were higher, product price
movements were mixed.Gasoline and fuel oil prices declined by 1% - 2% while
diesel and jet fuel prices increased by about 5%. This resulted in weaker
refining industry margins than the first quarter. LPG prices remained under
government price control with an average of Baht 10.8/Kg during 2Q 2010
($334/Ton or $29/Bbl).
2Q10 Paraxylene Asian Contract Prices (ACP) averaged at $1,007/Ton,
decreased from 1Q 2010.
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3. Production and Gross Margin
2Q 2010 2Q 2009 +/(-) 1H 2010 1H 2009 +/(-)
Refining capacity(Kbpd) 177.0 177.0 - 177.0 177.0 -
Crude intake (Kbpd) 125.8 143.0 -17.2 120.9 140.6 -19.7
Paraxylene production
('000 tons) 74 117 -43 154 199 -45
Gross Refining Margin
(US$/BBL) 1.8 11.9 -10.1 2.0 10.2 -8.2
Refinery production
(1)
- Light products(%) 34.3% 34.9% -0.6% 33.5% 34.4% -0.9%
- Middle distillates(%) 51.1% 50.5% +0.6% 51.4% 50.4% +1.0%
- Heavy products (%) 14.6% 14.6% - 15.1% 15.2% -0.1%
(1) Excludes reformate for chemical feedstock
Consistent with weaker gross refining margins (GRM),crude intake
in 2Q 2010 was lower than 2Q 2009 by 17.2 Kbpd. Also, with lower paraxylene
margins in 2Q 2010 it was not economic to maintain 2Q 2009 production levels;
therefore, paraxylene production reduced to 74 Ktons in 2Q 2010.
2Q 2010 Gross Refining Margin (GRM) was $1.8/Bbl versus $11.9/Bbl
in 2Q 2009. The lower GRM was mainly due to absence of 2Q 2009 stock gains
and weaker industry margins.
The refining production yields in 2Q 2010 and 2Q 2009 were
generally consistent.
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4. Financial Performance in 2Q 2010 and 2Q 2009
(Unit: million Baht)
2Q 2010 2Q 2009 +/(-) 1H 2010 1H 2009 +/(-)
Sales 45,877 42,305 3,572 89,378 75,790 13,588
Cost of sales (45,187) (36,042) (9,145) (87,247) (65,758) (21,489)
Gross profit 690 6,263 (5,573) 2,131 10,032 (7,901)
Selling expenses (1,117) (1,093) (24) (2,181) (2,081) (100)
Administrative
expenses (118) (112) (6) (208) (207) (1)
Profit/(loss)
from sales (545) 5,058 (5,603) (258) 7,744 (8,002)
Memo:
- Downstream (294) 4,580 (4,874) (156) 7,479 (7,635)
- Petrochemicals (251) 478 (729) (102) 265 (367)
Other income 19 22 (3) 31 34 (3)
Operating profit/
(loss) (526) 5,080 (5,606) (227) 7,778 (8,005)
Share of profit from
an associate 64 70 (6) 145 135 10
Other non-operating
income 69 - 69 69 - 69
Profit/(loss) before
interest and income
tax (393) 5,150 (5,543) (13) 7,913 (7,926)
Finance costs, net (87) (119) 32 (162) (321) 159
Profit/(loss) before
income tax (480) 5,031 (5,511) (175) 7,592 (7,767)
Income tax charge 177 (1,473) 1,650 121 (2,208) 2,329
Net profit/(loss) (303) 3,558 (3,861) (54) 5,384 (5,438)
Both sales and costs of sales in 2Q 2010 were higher than 2Q 2009
primarily due to higher average crude and product prices partly offset by
lower volumes. Gross profit for 2Q 2010 was Baht 5,573 million lower than
2Q 2009, reflecting the lower gross refining and paraxylene margins.
2Q 2010 selling and administrative expenses were Baht 1,235 million
about the same level as 2Q 2009.
Profit from sales for 2Q 2010 decreased by Baht 5,603 million, with
the Downstream and Petrochemical segments at Baht 4,874 million and Baht
729 million, respectively.
Other non-operating income of Baht 69 million related to interest
income from a VAT refund in 2Q 2010.
Net finance costs reduced by 27% or Baht 32 million in 2Q 2010
compared to 2Q 2009 as a result of lower interest rates.
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In 2Q 2010, loss before income tax of Baht 480 million included the
share of after-tax profit from an associate of Baht 64 million, which
resulted in a high effective tax rate of 37%.Without the effect from the
equity accounting, the intrinsic effective tax rate was at 33%, which
included income tax deductions on qualifying capital investments.
With the above-mentioned factors, the company reported a net loss
of Baht 303 million in 2Q 2010 versus a net profit of Baht 3,558 million
in 2Q 2009.
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5. Balance Sheet
(Unit: million Baht except for percentages)
30 Jun, 31 Mar, + / (-) + / (-) %
2010 2010
Assets
- Current assets 25,528 23,609 1,919 8%
- Non-current assets 36,548 35,912 636 2%
Total assets 62,076 59,521 2,555 4%
Liabilities
- Current liabilities 33,793 28,712 5,081 18%
- on-current liabilities ,127 6,464 (1,337) (21%)
Total liabilities 38,920 35,176 3,744 11%
Shareholders' equity
- Issued & paid-up share
capital 17,075 17,075 - -
- Premium on share
capital 4,032 4,032 - -
- Retained earnings 1,862 3,031 (1,169) (39%)
- Fair value reserve 180 200 (20) (10%)
Minority interest 7 7 - -
Total shareholders' equity 23,156 24,345 (1,189) (5%)
Total liabilities and
shareholders'equity 62,076 59,521 2,555 4%
As of 30 June 2010, current assets increased by Baht 1,919 million
from the previous quarter; primarily due to an increase in inventory to
normal operating levels following 1Q 2010 planned maintenance. Non-current
assets increased by Baht 636 million, largely as a result of Euro 4 capital
investments.
An increase of Baht 5,081 million in current liabilities mainly
reflected higher short-term borrowing of Baht 4,722 million to fund working
capital needs and to repay a long-term loan.The long-term loan principal
repayment of Baht 1,375 million largely reduced the non-current liabilities
to Baht 5,127 million. Total debt was Baht 27,677 million, comprising of
Baht 23,552 million of short-term borrowings,including bill of exchange,
and Baht 4,125 million of long-term loans.
Total shareholders' equity decreased by Baht 1,189 million, mainly
reflecting the 2009 final dividend payment of Baht 865 million.
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6. Financial Ratios
Comparison of financial ratios is illustrated below.
Profitability ratios
2Q 2010 2Q 2009 1Q 2010 1H 2010 1H 2009
Gross profit
margin (%) 1.5% 14.8% 3.3% 2.4% 13.2%
Net profit
margin (%) (0.7%) 8.4% 0.6% (0.1%) 7.1%
Interest
coverage ratio
(times) (0.4) 46.3 9.2 4.3 26.9
Liquidity and debt to equity ratios
30 Jun, 2010 31 Mar, 2010 31 Dec, 2009
Current ratio
(times) 0.8 0.8 0.8
Quick ratio
(times) 0.2 0.2 0.2
Total debt to
equity ratio
(times) 1.2 1.0 1.2
Long term debt
to equity ratio
(times) 0.2 0.2 0.2
Net debt to
equity ratio
(times) 1.2 1.0 1.1
Financial ratios calculation:
Gross profit margin = Gross profit / Sales
Net profit margin = Net profit / Sales
Interest coverage ratio = EBITDA / Interest expense
Current ratio = Current assets / Current liabilities
Quick ratio = (Cash and cash equivalents +
Short term investments +
Trade receivables) / Current liabilities
Total debt = Current borrowings + Non-current borrowings
Total debt to equity ratio = Total debt / Total shareholders'equity
Long term debt to equity ratio = Non-current borrowings/
Totalshareholders'equity
Net debt to equity ratio = (Total debt - Cash and cash equivalents)/
Total shareholder's equity
Name: Robert Michael Cooper
Title: Managing Director
Date: August 11, 2010
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